Cutler Blog

Xavier's Thoughts on the Fed Minutes

May 19, 2016

I like simple things and explanations. Maybe because I do not have a rocket science mind or because I am not into the theater of the absurd. In either case here is my humble thoughts on the Fed…although you all know very well my true thoughts.

I read the Fed’s minutes yesterday like many of you - well at least all you bond lovers. Still the same old stuff. Maybe-maybe dependent on conditions. I have long said that they would not raise rates, but if they do  it will be in June because September is too close to the American elections and, independent or not, the Fed is loath to raise hackles.

So what if we get one more bump for the year? It is not going to be a earth-shattering event, of that you can be certain. The hike will be small and manageable even if it is ill advised. It may come, it may not come, but, I assert, it will be overtaken by the actions of the other major central banks and the inflow of capital into American securities where some yield is still attainable even if it is paltry.

 

Disclaimer

These blogs are provided for informational purposes only and represent Cutler Investment Group’s (“Cutler”) views as of the date of posting. Such views are subject to change at any point without notice. The information in the blogs should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any types of securities.   Some of the information provided has been obtained from third party sources believed to be reliable but such information is not guaranteed.  Cutler has not taken into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any individual investor. There is a risk of loss from an investment in securities, including the risk of loss of principal. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that any specific investment will be profitable or suitable for a particular investor's financial situation or risk tolerance.  Any forward looking statements or forecasts are based on assumptions and actual results are expected to vary. No reliance should be placed on, and no guarantee should be assumed from, any such statements or forecasts when making any investment decision.
 

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